Both you guys missed that this

The risk-prediction instruments are not very transparent (some are proprietary corporate products)

Also would help continue our trend of profit-based prisons and reform systems. That's what stuck out at me. We would have people competing to make the "best" risk rating system - but what is best? Is it most accurate or least risky (ie, err on the side of caution)? What happens when the maker of the risk model got sued down the road because they didn't accurately predict someone's recidivism? (We move to more and more conservative models in an apparent "pr" or "safety" move.) what happens if the company making the best risk model also happens to invest in private prisons? Or private probation centers (I put up an article about those last week if you didn't see it)?

It could be a lucrative investment....

Of course I think all these would be bad - but I can see the pieces being laid down for them to happen.

Maybe we would have multiple "crime risk bureaus" like credit bureaus and every year you could check yours to see your "crime rating" and what you could do to improve it.

Would convictions fall off after 7 years... No...not in America...crimes for life.