Hey, so are you a fan of yudkowsky's stuff? I've been poking around his blog and lesswrong a bit to try and understand where his "bayesian revolution!" ideas are stemming from. I found that "intuitive" guide to bayesian reasoning anything but, as I didn't really think it covered Bayes' theorem very well, or how the actual application to reasoning or logical problem solving takes place. Then again, I've studied stats before, so that guide may have been written for different audience in mind.

I may just be missing something glaringly obvious, but it, upon casual observation, sort of reminds me of the whole Moldbug thing (in application, not in concept) in that

1) it's long winded and self-aggrandizing, at times, claiming vast implications (this is not a problem, persay, but more so a small red flag making my eyebrow shift upwards a bit)

2) it has some undercurrent ideologically that would innately attract those predisposed towards it already (purer or better rationality? I think?)

Before I go searching around any more, if you maybe have input on where to get a better understanding, I would appreciate it, I'm still at the "what's the rhetorical wheat and chaff here?" point.