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There is nothing that has changed about VR in the past 30 years that will increase its penetration over what has come before. We're still assuming that people want to be completely isolated from their friends in a world without relative perspective.

Oculus and all the rest are going to be the Guitar Hero of 2016. Lotsa people will buy it, lotsa people will go ooh aah, lotsa people will realize that they'd much rather play Madden from the couch where their friends can watch.