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b_b  ·  1790 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: A fiasco in the making?

I don't think that's what he's saying. I think he's saying there are so many degrees of freedom here that the uncertainty range is enormous, and one can construct any money if arguments that this disease isn't close to the apocalypse. Therefore, without data, we don't have any basis on which to judge the damage we're causing by all but closing society relative to what we're saving in terms of fewer infections.