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No, but I do read 538. On a related note, I really want to start an election poll that takes advantage of group estimation, rather than simply asking people who they will vote for. That is, I want to ask people who they think will win. IMHO this is a similar question, but rather than only reflecting their own opinion, it also brings in their social circle into the equation. I might vote for Obama, but if everyone I meet is voting for Romney, I would be more likely to guess that Romney will win. Maybe Nate will use my polling firm in 2016. :) BTW, I see you use snow.