Back of the envelope estimates with publicly available information: “'Flattening the Curve' is a deadly delusion”
by blackbootz
Assumptions underlying graph are a large infection rate, typical critical care rate, and known ventilators all devoted to COVID-19 cases.
NB: we obviously won't know the amount of infected. We also have reason to believe that ventilator manufacture would increase. But, still. Not pretty.
And also, hey everyone. Nice to be back.