How would you bridge the gap between a knowledge system that holds information and a knowledge system that can determine meaning out of the information? There's Google trying to create something similar to an omniscient base with their Knowledge Graph and Google Now technology, giving me information before I know I want it. But it is merely based on extrapolation and assumptions. IBM's Watson is the same thing. It can already do calculations faster than humans, but it's still programmed to do so. The technology doesn't know why it does what it does, it can't give meaning, and in my mind an omniscient knowledge base worthy of the term singularity should be able to do so. That's a really big step AI needs to take that I don't think it will. Maybe for plastic, but if we have a completely subdivided manufacturing economy, the only thing worth making money off is the materials. Higher demands create higher prices, and the transportation costs will rise dramatically. Materials becoming dirt cheap seems like an assumption too easily made. I feel like I'm missing some vital information as I don't really get what you're trying to say here. Do you want every interaction to be connected to this network, the global brain? That the IT network will level the playing field, connecting everything and everyone and thus create abundance for all? Reminds me of Thomas Friedman's claim that the world is becoming flat (meaning no transportation costs, making place irrelevant in an infinitely connected world). This article by Richard Florida is a great response to why that line of thought is wrong.And this isn't about us being omniscient. This is about us interacting with an omniscient knowledge base.
All for next to nothing.
as it is not yet a single information processing system for the entirety of human interaction, as well as human transportation and energy use. But that is where we are heading.
We will undoubtedly get much smarter. I didn't go into it in any detail, but you'll see one of the mechanisms for omniscience is internal computing. That would mean that we would essentially upgrade our neocortex. I feel very strongly that we will massively upgrade our neocortex by connecting it to the cloud, there are a lot of evolutionary trends in our history that suggest major transitions (such as a global brain) would also result in a extension of our neocortex. This would obviously be a radically leap though. Creates a new world. But global brain will always be more powerful and knowledgeable than any one of us. Yes, I agree with all of that, but I believe we will figure out how to make sense of all human knowledge. It will just take a massive leap in our software capabilities. Being incredulous isn't evidence that we won't do that. I suspect that the biggest improvements in software will come when we completely understand the human brain. That would make sense, since it is human thinking we are trying to duplicate. When you manufacture on the atomic scale it's all the same. No. Transportation is going to be free and infinite. We also won't be driving any vehicles, they will be driven by AI. Industrial Internet. Here's more. It is not about want. It's about the system-level trends. Everyone will be using the Internet for every experience in their life by 2040 (with the aid of full-immersion virtual reality, wearable and than internal computing and related technologies). Also the whole environment will be online. This stuff will happen. Pretty much.How would you bridge the gap between a knowledge system that holds information and a knowledge system that can determine meaning out of the information?
IBM's Watson is the same thing. It can already do calculations faster than humans, but it's still programmed to do so. The technology doesn't know why it does what it does, it can't give meaning, and in my mind an omniscient knowledge base worthy of the term singularity should be able to do so. That's a really big step AI needs to take that I don't think it will.
Maybe for plastic
the transportation costs will rise dramatically
I feel like I'm missing some vital information as I don't really get what you're trying to say here.
Do you want every interaction to be connected to this network, the global brain?
That the IT network will level the playing field, connecting everything and everyone and thus create abundance for all?
This article by Richard Florida is a great response to why that line of thought is wrong