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comment by nothingleftinside
nothingleftinside  ·  3046 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Michael Moore: 5 Reasons Why Trump Will Win

I really don't think so. Check out what the times says:

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html

And although 538 has Trump edging out in their "now" cast; that's the least predictive of any of their forecasts:

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/