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comment by user-inactivated
user-inactivated  ·  3042 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Michael Moore: 5 Reasons Why Trump Will Win

I will tell you why, right now, why Trump does not have a chance and has already lost. Last week, I sat in a room with about a dozen Evangelical types. Yea, it felt like this. NONE of them like Trump, that gay lovin' thrice married Holly-weird fella' that married those foreign women. Granted anecdote is not the same as Data, and yea he tried to pander with Pence, but if the Evangelicals don't like you as a Republican, you lost.

My prediction, baring some weird global event or new round of terrorism, is that this election is going to have the lowest turn out in a US election since the 80's. Hillary will squeak in, she will drop her 2-3 Supreme Court Appointees in and serve one term before retiring in 2021 for health reasons at 74.

The bad part of that is that low turn out in the state and local stuff favors Team R, which I am not a fan of right now. The DNC is useless and won't mount a 50 state strategy and we go back to focusing on battleground states for the rest of silly season.





kleinbl00  ·  3042 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    The DNC is useless and won't mount a 50 state strategy and we go back to focusing on battleground states for the rest of silly season.

au

contraire.

Turdblossom maintains that he had nothing to do with the fuck-the-gays/"family values" initiatives in 2004 but he was caught dead to rights.

user-inactivated  ·  3040 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I want to agree with you as hope springs eternal and all that jazz. But the sad reality is that the Anti Gay Marriage acts were written to motivate a demographic that already has a history of high turn out. And the sad reality is that young people don't vote. I hope that you are right and I am wrong, I really do. Because the people Trump will put on the Supreme Court scare the fuck out of me.

kleinbl00  ·  3040 days ago  ·  link  ·  

The nice thing about old people is they die. Wait, that sounded harsh. I mean...

Yeah. Young people traditionally don't come out to vote. But regardless of the current state of the Sanders posse, you gotta admit they're energized. Will they stay energized?

You're right. At this point it's a wager, not a certainty. But I'm feelin' pretty good. And the whole discussion was whether or not the DNC had a 50-state strategy.

Putting minimum wage in the platform isn't the opposite of that.

user-inactivated  ·  3037 days ago  ·  link  ·  

The Sander's organizations are now working on getting people elected into Congress. If they can keep up the hype and excitement level I think they can do some great work.

    The nice thing about old people is they die. Wait, that sounded harsh. I mean...

Young men wait so long for the old people to die that they forget their youth. I read that in something Russian, but cannot place the source. Then again it's 5AM and I am too damn old to have been up for the last 50 hours straight.

user-inactivated  ·  3037 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    If they can keep up the hype and excitement level I think they can do some great work.

I can't say I'm too hyped and excited, but I am planning on voting in my Kansas state senate primary on Tuesday. Something I've never done before. I think part of what Sander's campaign achieved is that it showed his supporters that we do have the numbers to make a difference.

We can drag these entrenched assholes our way somewhat. And we have some reputable people among us who can win primary battles outright.

It is kind of stupid, but there is a Lord of the Rings quote that reminds me a lot of the mood that has come out of Sander's supporters post campaign.

    A thing is about to happen here that has not happened since the Elder Days. The Ents are going to wake up and find that they are strong.