Power of the 'Blue Wave' from 2016, yeah?With a partisan lean of D+1, it’s the first swing state to sign on to the compact. But like 10 of the other 12 jurisdictions to pass the compact, Colorado is doing so when Democrats have full control of state government, meaning the party is in power in both branches of the legislature and holds the governorship. And even in the other two instances, it was still possible for the compact to pass with only Democratic support.3 That suggests that a state’s willingness to pass a National Popular Vote bill may rely not just on its blueness in presidential elections but also on whether its legislature and governor are Democratic.
Personally I can see this compact cross the 270 threshold shortly after a Democrat is elected president despite a Republican winning the popular vote. Which seems like a very unlikely scenario for 2020, but maybe not that unlikely for 2024. Unless: Is it possible for a state that has already ratified the compact to pull out of it?