It is a defeatist sentiment in many ways, but we actually are in a more dismal place environmentally than we can afford to be. It's not even 'if we continue at our present rate there will be serious consequences' any more. There will be serious consequences if we cut our rate of consumption in half. And we're not going to do that. I'm at work right now, so I'm going to be loose with sources, but while there are some interesting and hopeful advances on the horizon (the Tesla Roadster comes to mind) we are in a bleak place. We produce more trash than we can afford by far. And defeatist or not, it's a biological inevitability that species reach a plateau in their environment after they grow to saturation. While humans have certainly done a lot to extend what "their environment" means, there is no free lunch. There is no infinite energy supply. Entropy increases. A human plateau doesn't mean a slow decrease in population. It means mass starvation, increased aggression. It means a whole lotta trouble. I think the most amazing quote from the article was: What a succinct way to describe the dream of infinite progress.“Romanticizing the past” is a familiar accusation, made mostly by people who think it is more grown-up to romanticize the future.
I'm inclined to doubt this assertion because Japan is currently going through a population decrease, and if you ignore immigration, so is the US. Neither are suffering from mass starvation, nor increased aggression. Now, with most organisms, you see booms and busts in populations because of slow or non-existent feedback population feedback loops. Indeed, computer models show that selfish genes dominate because there is normally no evolutionary incentive for life to limit reproduction. However, you still see widespread usage of birth control and other factors limiting the growth of human populations. Why? Education and the continued development of medicine. Most of us are intelligent enough creatures to be able to predict the effects of reproduction and for the first time in the history of man, we can take steps to circumvent the consequences of our primal instincts. You don't need to be a rocket scientist to realize that if you're barely making enough money to support yourself, having a child will sink you into poverty. The author is quick to demonize STEM, but modern medicine, namely contraception, has induced a turning point in so many different categories of life. And it at least affords some humane opportunity for population control that doesn't involve eating the babies out of each others' cribs.A human plateau doesn't mean a slow decrease in population. It means mass starvation, increased aggression. It means a whole lotta trouble.
Thank you for this. I'm sure you didn't expect this, but I'm relieved at how much I love your contraception argument, because peak population has seriously worried me for some time. Fingers crossed the world holds out. No joke.
I bookmarked it, but it was late and I had so much talking to do on the internet and I was stuck in traffic and I have a headache and can we do this some other night, baby?