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comment by ButterflyEffect
ButterflyEffect  ·  4211 days ago  ·  link  ·    ·  parent  ·  post: Detroit files bankruptcy

I think the most absurd comment I've seen about this was a person attributing this to Detroit trying to build that Robocop statue.

Two questions for the Michigan based Hubski contingency (or anyone else):

1. Is this the bottom for Detroit, was this something that needed to happen before things can look up?

2. I know cities in California have gone bankrupt before, but how will a city as large as Detroit declaring bankruptcy affect the rest of Michigan?





cliffelam  ·  4211 days ago  ·  link  ·  

1> Nope. 2> Yep.

I think Detroit is probably functionally doomed.

-XC

b_b  ·  4211 days ago  ·  link  ·  

The place is absurd right now. Amid all this, a bunch of new, fancy retail shops have begun opening, including one that features $400 tennis shoes and $3000 fixed gear bicycles. It seems almost like they're making fun of the people who live around their storefronts, most of whom can't afford a $2 half pint of 5 o'clock vodka. Anyway, as for "functionally doomed", I don't think there is much chance that Detroit could be run any more poorly than it has been for the last half century. Therefore, I think it's doubtful that city services will be any worse. At the very least the trash is funded by an annual special collection fee and is not part of the general fund, so I don't think they will stop picking up trash. As long as I have that I'll not complain.

cliffelam  ·  4210 days ago  ·  link  ·  

It's not the consumers who are the problem, it's the leeches and the pols.

Move out while you can.

-XC

b_b  ·  4210 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Yeah, but the pols have been basically marginalized by the bankruptcy filing and the emergency manager. This is the silver lining (or perhaps maybe the main thrust) of the decision to go for chapter 9. The current top mayoral candidate (who is running as a write in, because of dirty politics that kept him off the ballot) is a seemingly good candidate who used to run a big hospital here in town. I'm optimistic about the future. There is more construction going on in downtown than there has been at any time since I've lived here, and the core of the city is gaining residents rapidly (rental capacity is at greater than 95% in any decent area). We need to trim the fat, so to speak. Hopefully the new class of politicians who have a chance to win after the emergency manager is gone will have the stones to make that happen. Of the $15-20 billion that Detroit is in the hole, the vast, vast, VAST majority is in unfunded retirement obligations. Obviously, this has to change and change now. If we can get that monkey off our back, which won't be easy due to a lot of impending litigation, I think the city has a chance to reemerge from bankruptcy leaner and brighter. We shall see.

cliffelam  ·  4210 days ago  ·  link  ·  

No, because the same exact people (maybe different flesh on the outside) will be in charge after the bankruptcy. Are the voters going to vote at 102% for different people from a different political party with a different set of economic theories?

Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a new result.

-XC

PS - Construction around the country is because of Bernake's pumping. Going to all disappear with the next regime change.

b_b  ·  4210 days ago  ·  link  ·  

Mike Duggan, the current front runner for mayor is a different sort of candidate. He is a white (not that that should matter, but it's unavoidable to talk about race here), former CEO of a large company. He isn't from the career political caste, which is corrupt beyond recognition, so if anyone can make a difference, I think he can. The other two candidates who have a chance of winning are business-as-usual types who will continue to ruin the city. It's an interesting time to live here, to say the least.

    PS - Construction around the country is because of Bernake's pumping. Going to all disappear with the next regime change.

I fear that you are correct. I also think that we are due for a sizable market correction.

cliffelam  ·  4210 days ago  ·  link  ·  

No, he won't make any difference. 99% of the people responsible for the wreck aren't elected.

Duggan is no Jindal, and Jindal had a much easier job and it took him years and years.

Duggan is Schwartzenager.

Leave while you can.

-XC

steve  ·  4211 days ago  ·  link  ·  

    but how will a city as large as Detroit...

It's not as big as it used to be. I don't say that to sound... I don't know. I guess I mean it out of a strange sadness that this once great city that rivaled many great cities... is now in such a terrible state of affairs.

I guess I'm just sad. I hope this step allows them to tun it around. I'm afraid greed, fear, and anger will slow the process.

ButterflyEffect  ·  4210 days ago  ·  link  ·  

I was talking population wise but also magnitude of debt. Both of which are much larger than the other cities that have declared bankruptcy.

The metro population is still large, it's just the city itself that has shrunk right?

steve  ·  4210 days ago  ·  link  ·  

according to the google, it's down to about 700k. That's about the size it was in the early 20th century, and less than half of it's peak. She used to run with the big dogs... but a combination of factors slowly killed the city over the last few decades. Here's hoping she can make a comeback.

b_b  ·  4211 days ago  ·  link  ·  

1. I hope so. Rock bottom has to lie somewhere. It would be hard to imagine a much worse situation.

2. I don't think the state will be affected greatly. Detroit is already a money sink, so this won't change that.

My personal hope is that some processes can be streamlined. But it's hard to imagine a dramatic turnaround. Deep problems require deep solutions. I guess we are going to find out if this is actually a solution or another bad joke.